Sunday, 8 January 2017

Brexit and my MP - Part 2

Please refer to my post of 28 December 2016.

My response to Anne Milton follows:


Dear Anne,

Thank you for, once again, responding quickly to a communication from me; in this case my email of December 2016. However, sadly, I find the contents of your response distinctly disappointing and below I note particular instances of that disappointment. No doubt you will have heard these arguments before but, as you yourself point out, it is important that you hear your constituents’ views.

<<..... I do feel that to ignore the results of the referendum would be damaging to our democracy ...>>.
Given that Brexit will be a nigh-on irreversible action isn’t it damaging to our democracy that the whim of 17M voters should determine the fate of all 65M of the population? In particular, is not potentially removing all rights currently enjoyed by those 65M through their European citizenship damaging to our democracy?

<<..... committed ..... to respect the outcome of the referendum>>.
The outcome of the referendum was that 37% of the electorate voted “Leave”. 63% did not. This 63% splits into almost 35% who actively voted “Remain” and 28% who did not vote. It is reasonable to conclude that the majority of the latter cohort were content with the status quo ante. The margin of “Leave” votes over “Remain”, at less than 3% of the registered electorate, was a narrow one which, even at that time, could be described as equivocal and as subsequent analysis has show potentially would not be the outcome if the referendum were rerun today. Surely it would be “respecting” the result of the referendum to understand and act to alleviate the varied genuine issues and grievances, many having little or nothing to do with the UK’s EU membership, that motivated many of the “Leave” voters. As I intimate above, invoking Article 50 “respects” the on-the-day views of just 37% of the electorate.

<<I will make sure that the interests of my constituents are raised at every possible opportunity>>.
On what appears to be your reading of the referendum vote, i.e. that only the difference between “Leave” and “Remain” votes counts, then the interests of your constituents should be met by the UK remaining within the EU (the vote in your constituency being approximately 56% “Remain”, 44% “Leave”). I note that the second part of Article 6 of the MPs’ Code of Conduct states that an MP “has a special duty to their constituents”. I have great difficulty in understanding how your vote for invoking Article 50 complies with that duty.

<< ..... invoking Article 50 by 31 March 2017>>.
I have yet to read a sensible rationale for this deadline. As anyone with a modicum of understanding of game theory will know
(a)   giving away gratis details of your position tends to strengthen that of the opposite party, something that has already become abundantly clear in this case; and
(b)   very often delaying tactics are the key to obtaining the optimal outcome to a negotiation.
On the assumption that all arguments for putting a halt to the Brexit process fail I suggest that the multifaceted and complicated negotiations that will be required make delay a particularly important avenue to pursue. To take one instance, the next EU parliamentary elections will take place in mid-2019. Why trigger Article 50 early when by delaying the UK can ensure that it is still an EU member when these elections take place and EU budgets are decided by the Commission, and thus still have considerable negotiating power? This March 2017 date smacks of domestic politics with an eye to the national parliamentary elections in 2020. If this is the reasoning then it is hardly acting in the best interests of the UK.

<<I hope that this response has......answered the questions you have raised>>.
As you did not specifically answer each question I raised I set out below my interpretation of your letter. I would be obliged if you would correct any misunderstanding on my part:

> Do you still believe that remaining in the EU is in the best interests of the UK? From the contents of your letter I surmise that, should the referendum be rerun, you would once again vote “Remain”.

> If not, what fundamental changes have taken place in order for you to alter your opinion? You appear to believe that the on-the-day will of just some 26% of the population trumps the best interests of the UK and you are willing, therefore, to support a process that cannot deliver anything more than second best and may well deliver something very much worse.

> If you do still believe that the best interests of the UK are to remain in the EU will you vote against invoking Article 50 (should you have the opportunity)? No.

> Will you vote against revocation of the European Communities Act 1972? No.

Yours sincerely


Richard Bawden



I rather doubt that this will do any good apart from making me feel slightly better. Hey ho.


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